What comes next in the Ukraine war? The odd truth is that the indefinite continuation of the current situation seems a lot easier to conceive than anything resembling an ending.

Captured by the disturbing trend of daily events, we find it difficult to look beyond the horizon and imagine how the war in Ukraine might end. The scenario of a clear Russian victory, followed by a humiliating surrender treaty, seems increasingly unlikely. Much depends, however, on what one understands by victory. One of the main topics of my recent wo…